Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDainava to win ✓63% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Hegelmann II vs Dainava preview and prediction
The match
Dainava travel to face Hegelmann II in the 1 Lyga on Friday 18 September (17:00 WAT). Hegelmann II are 14th with 28 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Dainava sit 7th on 48 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hegelmann II's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Transinvest 2 1–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Dainava's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Minija 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Hegelmann II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Hegelmann II and 2.0 for Dainava. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hegelmann II 23%, draw 14%, Dainava 63%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dainava to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Hegelmann II 1–2 Dainava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hegelmann II23%fair 4.44 · @4.10
Draw14%fair 7.00 · @4.20
Dainava63%fair 1.58 · @1.57
3.07Expected goals
1.05Hegelmann II xG
2.02Dainava xG
51%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Hegelmann II 1.1 – 2.0 Dainava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dainava to win✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Dainava ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dainava / FT Dainava✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Hegelmann II – last 6
LWLWLW
11 Sep
@ Transinvest 2
1–4
L
4 Sep
vs FA Šiauliai II
5–1
W
29 Aug
@ Kauno Žalgiris II
0–3
L
21 Aug
vs Ekranas
3–2
W
14 Aug
@ Be1 NFA
1–2
L
7 Aug
vs Garliava
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Dainava – last 6
LDLLDD
12 Sep
vs Minija
0–3
L
4 Sep
@ Jonava
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Minija
2–3
L
28 Aug
vs Žalgiris II
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Atmosfera
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs BFA
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hegelmann II and Dainava.
What is the prediction for Hegelmann II vs Dainava?
Our pick is Dainava to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Hegelmann II vs Dainava?
On our numbers Hegelmann II have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Dainava 63%.
How many goals will there be in Hegelmann II vs Dainava?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hegelmann II vs Dainava?
Our predicted score is Hegelmann II 1–2 Dainava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hegelmann II vs Dainava?
Hegelmann II vs Dainava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
