1 Lyga · LithuaniaBFA vs Babrungas prediction & analysis
Babrungas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Babrungas to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: BFA 0.7 – 1.8 Babrungas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Babrungas travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 14% for BFA.
BFA have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Babrungas have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.7 for BFA, 1.8 for Babrungas). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, BFA have won 1, Babrungas have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Babrungas or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Babrungas to win at 1.95 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Babrungas to win ✗ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Babrungas or draw ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Half-time result | Babrungas ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Babrungas / FT Babrungas ✗ | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.73 | – |
Form
BFA – last 6
| 28 Aug | @ Tauras | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Neptūną Klaipėda | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Dainava | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Transinvest 2 | 4–2 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ FA Šiauliai II | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | vs Be1 NFA | 3–1 | W |
Babrungas – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Garliava | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Tauras | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Neptūną Klaipėda | 4–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Dainava | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Aug | @ Transinvest 2 | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Ekranas | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 1 May 2026 | Babrungas v BFA | 4–0 |
| 28 Apr 2026 | BFA v Babrungas | 1–0 |
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for BFA vs Babrungas?
Our pick is Babrungas or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win BFA vs Babrungas?
On our numbers BFA have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Babrungas 63%.
How many goals will there be in BFA vs Babrungas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is BFA vs Babrungas?
BFA vs Babrungas (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.