1 Lyga · LithuaniaJonava vs Dainava prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Jonava 1.2 – 1.3 Dainava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Dainava shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 35% for Jonava.
Jonava have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Dainava have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Jonava, 1.3 for Dainava). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is close to our fair price of 1.88.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dainava to win ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Dainava / FT Dainava ✗ | 24% | 4.24 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.30 | – |
Form
Jonava – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Transinvest 2 | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs FA Šiauliai II | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Kauno Žalgiris II | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Aug | vs Ekranas | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Jul | @ Be1 NFA | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Garliava | 1–0 | W |
Dainava – last 6
| 1 Sep | @ Minija | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Žalgiris II | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Atmosfera | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs BFA | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Babrungas | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Aug | vs Tauras | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jonava and Dainava.
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Jonava vs Dainava?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Jonava vs Dainava?
On our numbers Jonava have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dainava 43%.
How many goals will there be in Jonava vs Dainava?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Jonava vs Dainava?
Jonava vs Dainava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.