Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Dainava to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDainava to win ✗61% · @1.83
Double chanceDainava or draw ✗81% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.70
Garliava vs Dainava preview and prediction
The match
Garliava host Dainava in the 1 Lyga on Friday 2 October, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT). Garliava are 11th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Dainava sit 7th on 48 points (in the top half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Garliava's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Kauno Žalgiris II 2–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Dainava's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Hegelmann II 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Dainava arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 June 2026, finished Dainava 1–0 Garliava.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Garliava and 1.8 for Dainava. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Garliava 19%, draw 20%, Dainava 61%.
Safer route: Dainava or draw (81%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Dainava to win at 1.83 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dainava or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Garliava 0–1 Dainava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Garliava19%fair 5.18 · @3.40
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.60
Dainava61%fair 1.65 · @1.83
2.61Expected goals
0.85Garliava xG
1.76Dainava xG
44%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Garliava 0.8 – 1.8 Dainava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Dainava or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Garliava vs Dainava?
On our numbers Garliava have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dainava 61%.
How many goals will there be in Garliava vs Dainava?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Garliava vs Dainava?
Our predicted score is Garliava 0–1 Dainava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Garliava vs Dainava?
Garliava vs Dainava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
