Value bet: Renofa Yamaguchi to win @ 2.91 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKagoshima United to win ✗39% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United preview and prediction
The match
Kagoshima United travel to Ishin Me-Life Stadium in the J3 League on Tuesday 3 November (06:00 WAT) to face Renofa Yamaguchi. Renofa Yamaguchi are 5th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Kagoshima United sit 4th on 31 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Renofa Yamaguchi's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Kitakyushu 0–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kagoshima United's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Renofa Yamaguchi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 August 2026, finished Kagoshima United 2–1 Renofa Yamaguchi. Across their last 3 meetings Renofa Yamaguchi have won 1, Kagoshima United 2, with 0 draws and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.4 for Kagoshima United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Renofa Yamaguchi 37%, draw 24%, Kagoshima United 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.69.
Value angle: Renofa Yamaguchi to win at 2.91 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Kagoshima United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Renofa Yamaguchi37%fair 2.73 · @2.91
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.18
Kagoshima United39%fair 2.53 · @2.16
2.66Expected goals
1.30Renofa Yamaguchi xG
1.36Kagoshima United xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.3 – 1.4 Kagoshima United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?
On our numbers Renofa Yamaguchi have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kagoshima United 39%.
How many goals will there be in Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?
Our predicted score is Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Kagoshima United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United (J3 League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
