Value bet: Roasso Kumamoto to win @ 3.24 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOsaka to win ✓40% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.38
Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto preview and prediction
The match
The J3 League sees Osaka take on Roasso Kumamoto on Wednesday 4 November, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium. Osaka are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Roasso Kumamoto sit 8th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Osaka's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to FC Gifu 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Roasso Kumamoto's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Kagoshima United 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Roasso Kumamoto arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Osaka and 1.2 for Roasso Kumamoto. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Roasso Kumamoto to win at 3.24 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Osaka 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Osaka40%fair 2.51 · @1.96
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Roasso Kumamoto37%fair 2.68 · @3.24
2.47Expected goals
1.26Osaka xG
1.21Roasso Kumamoto xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Osaka 1.3 – 1.2 Roasso Kumamoto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Osaka to win✓
40%
2.51
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.63
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.92
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.32
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Osaka / FT Osaka✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.38
–
Form
Osaka – last 6
LWWLDL
31 Oct
@ FC Gifu
0–1
L
24 Oct
vs Kagoshima United
2–1
W
21 Oct
vs Nara Club
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Kitakyushu
1–3
L
9 Oct
vs Kanazawa
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Sagamihara
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Roasso Kumamoto – last 6
DWWWLD
31 Oct
@ Kagoshima United
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs FC Gifu
2–1
W
21 Oct
vs Gainare Tottori
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Ehime FC
0–2
L
2 Oct
@ Biwako Shiga
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Osaka and Roasso Kumamoto.
What is the prediction for Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto?
On our numbers Osaka have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Roasso Kumamoto 37%.
How many goals will there be in Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our predicted score is Osaka 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Osaka vs Roasso Kumamoto (J3 League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
