Value bet: Sagamihara to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSagamihara to win ✗50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.92
Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC preview and prediction
The match
The J3 League sees Sagamihara take on Tochigi SC on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium. Sagamihara are 3rd with 31 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Tochigi SC sit 12th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sagamihara's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to FC Gifu 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Tochigi SC's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Biwako Shiga 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sagamihara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Tochigi SC 0–2 Sagamihara. Across their last 2 meetings Sagamihara have won 2, Tochigi SC 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Sagamihara and 1.1 for Tochigi SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Sagamihara to win at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Sagamihara 1–1 Tochigi SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sagamihara50%fair 2.01 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @2.90
Tochigi SC28%fair 3.63 · @2.90
2.63Expected goals
1.56Sagamihara xG
1.07Tochigi SC xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sagamihara 1.6 – 1.1 Tochigi SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC?
On our numbers Sagamihara have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tochigi SC 28%.
How many goals will there be in Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC?
Our predicted score is Sagamihara 1–1 Tochigi SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC?
Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
