Value bet: FC Ryukyu to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Ryukyu to win ✓40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89
FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC preview and prediction
The match
Tochigi SC travel to Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium in the J3 League on Saturday 17 October (10:00 WAT) to face FC Ryukyu. FC Ryukyu are 11th with 23 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Tochigi SC sit 12th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Ryukyu's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Tochigi SC's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Renofa Yamaguchi 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
FC Ryukyu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for FC Ryukyu and 1.2 for Tochigi SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Ryukyu 40%, draw 25%, Tochigi SC 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: FC Ryukyu to win at 2.75 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: FC Ryukyu 1–1 Tochigi SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Ryukyu40%fair 2.51 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.90
Tochigi SC35%fair 2.87 · @2.38
2.55Expected goals
1.33FC Ryukyu xG
1.22Tochigi SC xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: FC Ryukyu 1.3 – 1.2 Tochigi SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Ryukyu to win✓
40%
2.51
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Ryukyu / FT FC Ryukyu✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.89
–
Form
FC Ryukyu – last 6
LLDLWW
10 Oct
@ Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Kanazawa
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Ehime FC
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Biwako Shiga
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Kamatamare Sanuki
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Kitakyushu
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tochigi SC – last 6
LDLLDL
11 Oct
vs Renofa Yamaguchi
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Kagoshima United
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Parceiro Nagano
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Montedio Yamagata
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Ryukyu and Tochigi SC.
What is the prediction for FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC?
On our numbers FC Ryukyu have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tochigi SC 35%.
How many goals will there be in FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC?
Our predicted score is FC Ryukyu 1–1 Tochigi SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC?
FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
