Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga preview and prediction
The match
Matsumoto Yamaga travel to Nagano U Stadium in the J3 League on Sunday 18 October (07:00 WAT) to face Parceiro Nagano. Parceiro Nagano are 10th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Matsumoto Yamaga sit 15th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Parceiro Nagano's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Kochi United 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Matsumoto Yamaga's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Matsumoto Yamaga 0–1 Parceiro Nagano. Across their last 2 meetings Parceiro Nagano have won 1, Matsumoto Yamaga 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Parceiro Nagano and 1.3 for Matsumoto Yamaga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Parceiro Nagano 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Parceiro Nagano35%fair 2.88 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Matsumoto Yamaga41%fair 2.44 · @2.20
2.40Expected goals
1.14Parceiro Nagano xG
1.26Matsumoto Yamaga xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Parceiro Nagano 1.1 – 1.3 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
On our numbers Parceiro Nagano have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Matsumoto Yamaga 41%.
How many goals will there be in Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our predicted score is Parceiro Nagano 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Nagano U Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.