J3 League · Japan · Kanseki Stadium TochigiTochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tochigi SC 1.2 – 1.3 Renofa Yamaguchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Renofa Yamaguchi shade it despite being away from home – 41% to win, against 34% for Tochigi SC.
Tochigi SC have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Renofa Yamaguchi have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Renofa Yamaguchi come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Tochigi SC, 1.3 for Renofa Yamaguchi). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.74.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Renofa Yamaguchi to win ✓ | 41% | 2.41 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Renofa Yamaguchi / FT Renofa Yamaguchi ✗ | 23% | 4.29 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 11% | 9.17 | – |
Form
Tochigi SC – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Kamatamare Sanuki | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Matsumoto Yamaga | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Kagoshima United | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Parceiro Nagano | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | vs Montedio Yamagata | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Kochi United | 2–0 | W |
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ FC Gifu | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Sagamihara | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Kanazawa | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Thespakusatsu Gunma | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Gainare Tottori | 3–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | vs Fujieda MYFC | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tochigi SC and Renofa Yamaguchi.
J3 League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nara Club | 16 | +12 | 32 |
| 2 |  FC Gifu | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 3 |  Sagamihara | 16 | +11 | 31 |
| 4 |  Kagoshima United | 16 | +10 | 31 |
| 5 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 16 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 |  Osaka | 16 | +11 | 29 |
| 7 |  Ehime FC | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 8 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 16 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  Kanazawa | 16 | +7 | 23 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 16 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 |  FC Ryukyu | 16 | 0 | 23 |
| 12 |  Tochigi SC | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Kitakyushu | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 14 |  Fukushima United | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 16 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Biwako Shiga | 16 | -9 | 17 |
| 17 |  Gainare Tottori | 16 | -15 | 15 |
| 18 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 16 | -10 | 14 |
| 19 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 16 | -18 | 13 |
| 20 |  Kochi United | 16 | -26 | 9 |
More J3 League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
On our numbers Tochigi SC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Renofa Yamaguchi 41%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.