Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga preview and prediction
The match
Matsumoto Yamaga travel to Egao Kenko Stadium in the J3 League on Friday 18 September (11:00 WAT) to face Roasso Kumamoto. Roasso Kumamoto are 8th with 24 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Matsumoto Yamaga sit 15th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Roasso Kumamoto's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Fukushima United 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Matsumoto Yamaga's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Sagamihara 1–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Roasso Kumamoto arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.0 for Matsumoto Yamaga. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Roasso Kumamoto40%fair 2.53 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Matsumoto Yamaga35%fair 2.85 · @2.80
2.08Expected goals
1.08Roasso Kumamoto xG
1.00Matsumoto Yamaga xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Roasso Kumamoto 1.1 – 1.0 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roasso Kumamoto to win✗
40%
2.53
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Roasso Kumamoto – last 6
WDWWLD
12 Sep
@ Fukushima United
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Nara Club
2–2
D
2 Sep
vs Oita Trinita
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Kochi United
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Parceiro Nagano
0–1
L
19 Aug
@ Gainare Tottori
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
LDDDDL
13 Sep
vs Sagamihara
1–3
L
9 Sep
vs Shonan Bellmare
3–3
D
5 Sep
vs Osaka
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Kitakyushu
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Ehime FC
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Biwako Shiga
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roasso Kumamoto and Matsumoto Yamaga.
What is the prediction for Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
On our numbers Roasso Kumamoto have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Matsumoto Yamaga 35%.
How many goals will there be in Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our predicted score is Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J3 League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Egao Kenko Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
