Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Renofa Yamaguchi to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRenofa Yamaguchi to win ✓58% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.49
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma preview and prediction
The match
The J3 League sees Renofa Yamaguchi take on Thespakusatsu Gunma on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium. Renofa Yamaguchi are 5th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 19th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Renofa Yamaguchi's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Gainare Tottori 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Thespakusatsu Gunma's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Fukushima United 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Renofa Yamaguchi and 0.9 for Thespakusatsu Gunma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Renofa Yamaguchi to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Renofa Yamaguchi 1–0 Thespakusatsu Gunma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Renofa Yamaguchi58%fair 1.72 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.40
Thespakusatsu Gunma22%fair 4.55 · @4.40
2.70Expected goals
1.75Renofa Yamaguchi xG
0.95Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.8 – 0.9 Thespakusatsu Gunma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Renofa Yamaguchi to win✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Renofa Yamaguchi / FT Renofa Yamaguchi✓
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.49
–
Form
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6
WLDLLW
5 Sep
@ Gainare Tottori
3–0
W
2 Sep
vs Fujieda MYFC
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Osaka
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Nara Club
1–3
L
19 Aug
@ Kagoshima United
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs FC Ryukyu
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Thespakusatsu Gunma – last 6
LLWLLW
5 Sep
vs Fukushima United
1–3
L
2 Sep
vs Albirex Niigata
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Parceiro Nagano
2–1
W
26 Aug
@ Tokyo Verdy
1–4
L
22 Aug
vs Biwako Shiga
2–3
L
19 Aug
@ Tohoku Gakuin University
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renofa Yamaguchi and Thespakusatsu Gunma.
What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our pick is Renofa Yamaguchi to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
On our numbers Renofa Yamaguchi have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Thespakusatsu Gunma 22%.
How many goals will there be in Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our predicted score is Renofa Yamaguchi 1–0 Thespakusatsu Gunma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
