Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Hapoel Tel Aviv to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Tel Aviv to win ✓66% · @1.40
Double chanceHapoel Tel Aviv or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Katamon host Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Ligat Ha'al on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Teddy Stadium. Hapoel Katamon are 10th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Hapoel Tel Aviv sit 1st on 25 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hapoel Katamon's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Hapoel Beer Sheva 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Hapoel Tel Aviv's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Ironi Tiberias 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hapoel Tel Aviv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Hapoel Tel Aviv 3–1 Hapoel Katamon.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.2 for Hapoel Katamon and 2.6 for Hapoel Tel Aviv. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hapoel Tel Aviv to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Hapoel Katamon 1–2 Hapoel Tel Aviv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Katamon14%fair 7.27 · @6.00
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.33
Hapoel Tel Aviv66%fair 1.52 · @1.40
3.71Expected goals
1.16Hapoel Katamon xG
2.55Hapoel Tel Aviv xG
59%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–17%
0–37%
0–16%
From our goals model: Hapoel Katamon 1.2 – 2.6 Hapoel Tel Aviv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our pick is Hapoel Tel Aviv to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
On our numbers Hapoel Katamon have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hapoel Tel Aviv 66%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Katamon 1–2 Hapoel Tel Aviv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Ligat Ha'al) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Teddy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
