Value bet: Hapoel Petah Tikva to win @ 2.44 – our chance 48% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Petah Tikva to win ✗48% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.75
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva preview and prediction
The match
Ironi Tiberias host Hapoel Petah Tikva in the Ligat Ha'al on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Green Stadium. Ironi Tiberias are 14th with 4 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Hapoel Petah Tikva sit 12th on 6 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ironi Tiberias's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Maccabi Petah Tikva 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Hapoel Petah Tikva's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Bnei Sakhnin 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Ironi Tiberias and 1.5 for Hapoel Petah Tikva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Hapoel Petah Tikva to win at 2.44 – 48% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Ironi Tiberias 1–1 Hapoel Petah Tikva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ironi Tiberias31%fair 3.27 · @2.64
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Hapoel Petah Tikva48%fair 2.09 · @2.44
2.71Expected goals
1.17Ironi Tiberias xG
1.54Hapoel Petah Tikva xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ironi Tiberias 1.2 – 1.5 Hapoel Petah Tikva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Petah Tikva to win✗
48%
2.09
2.44 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Petah Tikva / FT Hapoel Petah Tikva✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.75
–
Form
Ironi Tiberias – last 6
LLLLWW
15 Aug
vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
0–3
L
4 Aug
@ Maccabi Haifa
2–4
L
1 Aug
vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Hapoel Haifa
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Bnei Sakhnin
2–1
W
18 May
@ Hapoel Katamon
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hapoel Petah Tikva – last 6
LLLLWW
15 Aug
@ Bnei Sakhnin
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Hapoel Katamon
1–3
L
5 Aug
vs Maccabi Netanya
0–2
L
29 Jul
@ Hapoel Ramat Gan
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
1–0
W
14 Jul
vs Spartak Pleven
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Petah Tikva.
What is the prediction for Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
On our numbers Ironi Tiberias have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hapoel Petah Tikva 48%.
How many goals will there be in Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
Our predicted score is Ironi Tiberias 1–1 Hapoel Petah Tikva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva (Ligat Ha'al) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Green Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.