Value bet: Beitar Jerusalem to win @ 2.42 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeitar Jerusalem to win ✗45% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.93
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem preview and prediction
The match
Beitar Jerusalem travel to Bloomfield Stadium in the Ligat Ha'al on Thursday 3 September (18:30 WAT) to face Hapoel Tel Aviv. Hapoel Tel Aviv are 1st with 25 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Beitar Jerusalem sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Hapoel Tel Aviv's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Hapoel Haifa 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Beitar Jerusalem's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Maccabi Netanya 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Beitar Jerusalem 2–2 Hapoel Tel Aviv. Across their last 2 meetings Hapoel Tel Aviv have won 0, Beitar Jerusalem 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 1.5 for Beitar Jerusalem. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Beitar Jerusalem to win at 2.42 – 45% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–1 Beitar Jerusalem. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Tel Aviv34%fair 2.94 · @2.58
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.45
Beitar Jerusalem45%fair 2.20 · @2.42
2.67Expected goals
1.21Hapoel Tel Aviv xG
1.46Beitar Jerusalem xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.2 – 1.5 Beitar Jerusalem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
On our numbers Hapoel Tel Aviv have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Beitar Jerusalem 45%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–1 Beitar Jerusalem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem (Ligat Ha'al) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Bloomfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
