Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: FC Lugano to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Lugano to win ✓65% · @1.85
Double chanceFC Lugano or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.03
Lausanne vs FC Lugano preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Lausanne take on FC Lugano on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stade de la Tuiliere. Lausanne are 12th with 7 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while FC Lugano sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lausanne's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Servette FC 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FC Lugano's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat FC ST. Gallen 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
FC Lugano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished FC Lugano 2–1 Lausanne.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Lausanne and 2.1 for FC Lugano. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lausanne 15%, draw 20%, FC Lugano 65%.
Safer route: FC Lugano or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: FC Lugano to win at 1.85 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Lugano or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lausanne 0–2 FC Lugano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lausanne15%fair 6.89 · @3.60
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
FC Lugano65%fair 1.54 · @1.85
3.00Expected goals
0.89Lausanne xG
2.11FC Lugano xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Lausanne 0.9 – 2.1 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is FC Lugano or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lausanne vs FC Lugano?
On our numbers Lausanne have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Lugano 65%.
How many goals will there be in Lausanne vs FC Lugano?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lausanne vs FC Lugano?
Our predicted score is Lausanne 0–2 FC Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lausanne vs FC Lugano?
Lausanne vs FC Lugano (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Tuiliere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
