Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: FC Sion to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Sion to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceFC Sion or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.53
FC Sion vs FC Thun preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees FC Sion take on FC Thun on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stade de Tourbillon. FC Sion are 3rd with 26 points from 13 games (in the top four), while FC Thun sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Sion's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat FC Basel 1893 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
FC Thun's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Lausanne 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished FC Thun 1–0 FC Sion.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.8 for FC Sion and 1.5 for FC Thun. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Sion 63%, draw 20%, FC Thun 16%.
Safer route: FC Sion or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.44.
Value angle: FC Sion to win at 1.70 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Sion or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FC Sion 2–1 FC Thun. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Sion63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.80
FC Thun16%fair 6.11 · @4.20
4.30Expected goals
2.81FC Sion xG
1.49FC Thun xG
71%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: FC Sion 2.8 – 1.5 FC Thun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is FC Sion or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Sion vs FC Thun?
On our numbers FC Sion have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Thun 16%.
How many goals will there be in FC Sion vs FC Thun?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Sion vs FC Thun?
Our predicted score is FC Sion 2–1 FC Thun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is FC Sion vs FC Thun?
FC Sion vs FC Thun (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Tourbillon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
