Value bet: FC Luzern to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Sion to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.55
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.98
FC Sion vs FC Luzern preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees FC Sion take on FC Luzern on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stade de Tourbillon. FC Sion are 3rd with 26 points from 13 games (in the top four), while FC Luzern sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Sion's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Bate Borisov 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
FC Luzern's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to FC Thun 1–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.2 for FC Sion and 1.9 for FC Luzern. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Sion 46%, draw 19%, FC Luzern 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.45.
Value angle: FC Luzern to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Sion 2–1 FC Luzern. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Sion46%fair 2.15 · @2.05
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.80
FC Luzern34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
4.07Expected goals
2.19FC Sion xG
1.88FC Luzern xG
70%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
2–27%
1–17%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: FC Sion 2.2 – 1.9 FC Luzern expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Sion to win✓
46%
2.15
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.43
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.55 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.57
Half-time result
FC Sion ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Sion / FT FC Sion✓
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.98
–
Form
FC Sion – last 6
WLDLWW
30 Jul
vs Bate Borisov
4–0
W
26 Jul
@ BSC Young Boys
2–4
L
23 Jul
@ Bate Borisov
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ Annecy
0–4
L
12 Jul
@ Yverdon Sport
3–1
W
1 Jul
@ Neuchatel Xamax FC
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Luzern – last 6
LLWWWW
25 Jul
vs FC Thun
1–3
L
18 Jul
vs St. Truiden
1–2
L
10 Jul
@ FC WIL 1900
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs FC Winterthur
3–2
W
27 Jun
vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3–2
W
12 May
vs FC Zurich
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Sion and FC Luzern.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win FC Sion vs FC Luzern?
On our numbers FC Sion have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Luzern 34%.
How many goals will there be in FC Sion vs FC Luzern?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Sion vs FC Luzern?
Our predicted score is FC Sion 2–1 FC Luzern, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is FC Sion vs FC Luzern?
FC Sion vs FC Luzern (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Tourbillon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
