Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Maccabi Kiryat Gat to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaccabi Kiryat Gat to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceMaccabi Kiryat Gat or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Leumit sees Maccabi Kiryat Gat take on Maccabi Ahi Nazareth on Friday 23 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Maccabi Kiryat Gat are 10th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Maccabi Kiryat Gat's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Ashdod 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Hapoel Kfar Saba 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Maccabi Kiryat Gat and 0.7 for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Maccabi Kiryat Gat to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1–0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maccabi Kiryat Gat62%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth14%fair 7.27 · @3.60
2.35Expected goals
1.70Maccabi Kiryat Gat xG
0.65Maccabi Ahi Nazareth xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1.7 – 0.7 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maccabi Kiryat Gat to win✗
62%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maccabi Kiryat Gat / FT Maccabi Kiryat Gat✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Form
Maccabi Kiryat Gat – last 6
DDLLWL
16 Oct
@ Ashdod
0–0
D
9 Oct
vs Kiryat Yam SC
2–2
D
1 Oct
@ Bnei Yehuda
1–2
L
28 Sep
vs Kafr Qasim
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Hapoel Kfar Saba
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth – last 6
LWLLWD
16 Oct
vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
0–4
L
9 Oct
@ Maccabi Herzliya
2–1
W
1 Oct
vs Ironi Modi'in
1–2
L
24 Sep
@ Hapoel Rishon LeZion
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs Hapoel Acre
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3–3
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maccabi Kiryat Gat and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
What is the prediction for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our pick is Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
On our numbers Maccabi Kiryat Gat have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 14%.
How many goals will there be in Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our predicted score is Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1–0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
