Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Ashdod to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAshdod to win ✗68% · @1.33
Double chanceAshdod or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Leumit sees Ashdod take on Maccabi Kiryat Gat on Friday 16 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Yud-Alef Stadium. Ashdod are 1st with 31 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Maccabi Kiryat Gat sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ashdod's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Hapoel Kfar Saba 4–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maccabi Kiryat Gat's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Kiryat Yam SC 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ashdod arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Ashdod and 0.7 for Maccabi Kiryat Gat. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ashdod 68%, draw 21%, Maccabi Kiryat Gat 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ashdod to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Ashdod 2–0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ashdod68%fair 1.47 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.50
Maccabi Kiryat Gat11%fair 8.78 · @7.50
2.78Expected goals
2.06Ashdod xG
0.72Maccabi Kiryat Gat xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ashdod 2.1 – 0.7 Maccabi Kiryat Gat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ashdod to win✗
68%
1.47
1.33
Double chance
Ashdod or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Ashdod ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ashdod / FT Ashdod✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.61
–
Form
Ashdod – last 6
WWWWWW
12 Oct
@ Hapoel Kfar Saba
4–2
W
1 Oct
vs Maccabi Herzliya
1–0
W
24 Sep
@ Ironi Modi'in
3–1
W
17 Sep
vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion
3–2
W
14 Sep
@ Hapoel Acre
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
4–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Maccabi Kiryat Gat – last 6
DLLWLD
9 Oct
vs Kiryat Yam SC
2–2
D
1 Oct
@ Bnei Yehuda
1–2
L
28 Sep
vs Kafr Qasim
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Hapoel Kfar Saba
0–2
L
7 Sep
vs Maccabi Herzliya
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ashdod and Maccabi Kiryat Gat.
What is the prediction for Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
Our pick is Ashdod to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
On our numbers Ashdod have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maccabi Kiryat Gat 11%.
How many goals will there be in Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
Our predicted score is Ashdod 2–0 Maccabi Kiryat Gat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Yud-Alef Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
