Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Ashdod or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Ashdod to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAshdod to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceAshdod or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.60
Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Leumit sees Ashdod take on Hapoel Rishon LeZion on Thursday 17 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Yud-Alef Stadium. Ashdod are 1st with 31 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Hapoel Rishon LeZion sit 7th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ashdod's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Hapoel Acre 4–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Kiryat Yam SC 4–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Ashdod arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Ashdod and 0.9 for Hapoel Rishon LeZion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Ashdod to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ashdod or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ashdod 1–0 Hapoel Rishon LeZion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ashdod62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Hapoel Rishon LeZion17%fair 5.79 · @3.70
2.80Expected goals
1.91Ashdod xG
0.89Hapoel Rishon LeZion xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Ashdod 1.9 – 0.9 Hapoel Rishon LeZion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ashdod to win✓
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Ashdod or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Ashdod ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ashdod / FT Ashdod✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.60
–
Form
Ashdod – last 6
WWWWLW
14 Sep
@ Hapoel Acre
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
4–0
W
31 Aug
@ Maccabi Bnei Raina
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1–0
W
18 Aug
@ Hapoel Afula
0–2
L
18 May
@ Ironi Kiryat Shmona
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hapoel Rishon LeZion – last 6
WWWWLL
10 Sep
vs Kiryat Yam SC
4–2
W
30 Aug
vs Kafr Qasim
2–1
W
24 Aug
@ Maccabi Kiryat Gat
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Kladno
0–2
L
25 May
vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2–6
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ashdod and Hapoel Rishon LeZion.
What is the prediction for Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
Our pick is Ashdod or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
On our numbers Ashdod have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hapoel Rishon LeZion 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
Our predicted score is Ashdod 1–0 Hapoel Rishon LeZion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
Ashdod vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Yud-Alef Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
