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Challenge League · Switzerland
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Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Aarau to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.73

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau preview and prediction

The match

The Challenge League sees Neuchatel Xamax FC take on FC Aarau on Friday 30 October, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT). Neuchatel Xamax FC are 5th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top half), while FC Aarau sit 6th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Neuchatel Xamax FC's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.

FC Aarau's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Étoile Carouge 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Neuchatel Xamax FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 28 August 2026, finished FC Aarau 2–1 Neuchatel Xamax FC. Across their last 2 meetings Neuchatel Xamax FC have won 0, FC Aarau 2, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Neuchatel Xamax FC and 1.6 for FC Aarau. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–1 FC Aarau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Neuchatel Xamax FC38%fair 2.61 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
FC Aarau40%fair 2.48 · @2.30
3.09Expected goals
1.52Neuchatel Xamax FC xG
1.57FC Aarau xG
67%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Neuchatel Xamax FC 1.5 – 1.6 FC Aarau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Aarau to win ✓40%2.482.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Aarau / FT FC Aarau ✗23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.73–

Form

Neuchatel Xamax FC – last 6

DWWLWL
23 Oct@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0–0D
18 Oct@ Langenthal3–2W
9 Octvs FC Winterthur3–0W
18 Sepvs Rapperswil0–3L
11 Sep@ Stade Nyonnais3–1W
4 Sep@ FC Winterthur0–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

FC Aarau – last 6

LWLLLD
24 Octvs Étoile Carouge1–2L
18 Octvs FC Zurich2–0W
9 Oct@ Stade Nyonnais1–2L
2 Octvs BSC Young Boys1–2L
18 Sep@ FC Winterthur1–2L
12 Sepvs SC Kriens2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Aug 2026FC Aarau v Neuchatel Xamax FC2–1
1 May 2026Neuchatel Xamax FC v FC Aarau1–3
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?

On our numbers Neuchatel Xamax FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Aarau 40%.

How many goals will there be in Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?

Our predicted score is Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–1 FC Aarau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau?

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.