Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Winterthur to win ✓41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 10.13
Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur preview and prediction
The match
Étoile Carouge host FC Winterthur in the Challenge League on Friday 11 September, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Stade de la Fontenette. Étoile Carouge are 7th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while FC Winterthur sit 2nd on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Étoile Carouge's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with FC WIL 1900 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FC Winterthur's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Neuchatel Xamax FC 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Winterthur arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Étoile Carouge and 1.4 for FC Winterthur. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Étoile Carouge 36%, draw 23%, FC Winterthur 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Étoile Carouge 1–1 FC Winterthur. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Étoile Carouge36%fair 2.81 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
FC Winterthur41%fair 2.41 · @2.45
2.64Expected goals
1.26Étoile Carouge xG
1.38FC Winterthur xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Étoile Carouge 1.3 – 1.4 FC Winterthur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Winterthur to win✓
41%
2.41
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Winterthur / FT FC Winterthur✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
10.13
–
Form
Étoile Carouge – last 6
DLWDWL
4 Sep
vs FC WIL 1900
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0–3
L
28 Aug
vs Rapperswil
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Stade Nyonnais
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Collex-Bossy
2–0
W
7 Aug
vs Neuchatel Xamax FC
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Winterthur – last 6
WDDWWW
4 Sep
vs Neuchatel Xamax FC
4–0
W
1 Sep
@ Stade Nyonnais
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1–1
D
21 Aug
@ Rapperswil
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Zürich City
3–1
W
7 Aug
vs FC WIL 1900
5–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Étoile Carouge and FC Winterthur.
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur?
On our numbers Étoile Carouge have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Winterthur 41%.
How many goals will there be in Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur?
Our predicted score is Étoile Carouge 1–1 FC Winterthur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur?
Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Fontenette.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
