Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.77Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStade Lausanne-Ouchy to win ✓60% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge League sees Stade Lausanne-Ouchy take on Étoile Carouge on Tuesday 1 September, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stade Olympique de la Pontaise. Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are 1st with 31 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Étoile Carouge sit 7th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with FC Winterthur 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Étoile Carouge's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Rapperswil 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 April 2026, finished Étoile Carouge 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and 0.9 for Étoile Carouge. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 59%, both teams to score at 60%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1–0 Étoile Carouge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy60%fair 1.65 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.00
Étoile Carouge21%fair 4.78 · @4.75
2.72Expected goals
1.80Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
0.91Étoile Carouge xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.8 – 0.9 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win✓
60%
1.65
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.77 ▲
Half-time result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / FT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy✓
What is the prediction for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
On our numbers Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Étoile Carouge 21%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
Our predicted score is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1–0 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique de la Pontaise.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
