Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Aarau to win ✓64% · @1.40
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✓84% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.09
FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais preview and prediction
The match
The Challenge League sees FC Aarau take on Stade Nyonnais on Friday 7 August, kicking off at 19:15 (WAT). FC Aarau are 6th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Stade Nyonnais sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
FC Aarau's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Stade Nyonnais's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Rapperswil 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.
FC Aarau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished FC Aarau 5–1 Stade Nyonnais. Across their last 2 meetings FC Aarau have won 1, Stade Nyonnais 0, with 1 draw and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for FC Aarau and 0.9 for Stade Nyonnais. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Aarau 64%, draw 21%, Stade Nyonnais 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Aarau 2–0 Stade Nyonnais. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Aarau64%fair 1.57 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.75
Stade Nyonnais16%fair 6.43 · @5.50
2.94Expected goals
2.04FC Aarau xG
0.90Stade Nyonnais xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Aarau 2.0 – 0.9 Stade Nyonnais expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
On our numbers FC Aarau have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stade Nyonnais 16%.
How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
Our predicted score is FC Aarau 2–0 Stade Nyonnais, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
FC Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
