Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Yverdon Sport to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultYverdon Sport to win ✗61% · @1.73
Double chanceYverdon Sport or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge preview and prediction
The match
Étoile Carouge travel to Stade Municipal in the Challenge League on Friday 31 July (18:30 WAT) to face Yverdon Sport. Yverdon Sport are 3rd with 23 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Étoile Carouge sit 7th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Yverdon Sport's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with FC Winterthur 2–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Étoile Carouge's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat FC Aarau 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Yverdon Sport 3–5 Étoile Carouge. Across their last 2 meetings Yverdon Sport have won 0, Étoile Carouge 1, with 1 draw and 6.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Yverdon Sport and 1.0 for Étoile Carouge. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yverdon Sport 61%, draw 21%, Étoile Carouge 18%.
Safer route: Yverdon Sport or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Yverdon Sport to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Yverdon Sport 2–0 Étoile Carouge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yverdon Sport61%fair 1.63 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.70
Étoile Carouge18%fair 5.54 · @3.95
3.19Expected goals
2.19Yverdon Sport xG
1.00Étoile Carouge xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Yverdon Sport 2.2 – 1.0 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
Our pick is Yverdon Sport to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
On our numbers Yverdon Sport have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Étoile Carouge 18%.
How many goals will there be in Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
Our predicted score is Yverdon Sport 2–0 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge?
Yverdon Sport vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Municipal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
