Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Aarau to win ✗65% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau preview and prediction
The match
FC Aarau travel to Stade de la Fontenette in the Challenge League on Friday 24 July (19:15 WAT) to face Étoile Carouge. Étoile Carouge are 7th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while FC Aarau sit 6th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Étoile Carouge's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to BSC Young Boys 0–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
FC Aarau's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Union Berlin 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FC Aarau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 April 2026, finished FC Aarau 1–3 Étoile Carouge. Across their last 2 meetings Étoile Carouge have won 1, FC Aarau 1, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.1 for Étoile Carouge and 2.3 for FC Aarau. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Étoile Carouge 18%, draw 17%, FC Aarau 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Aarau to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Étoile Carouge 1–2 FC Aarau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Étoile Carouge18%fair 5.53 · @3.95
Draw17%fair 5.84 · @4.10
FC Aarau65%fair 1.54 · @1.67
3.37Expected goals
1.10Étoile Carouge xG
2.28FC Aarau xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Étoile Carouge 1.1 – 2.3 FC Aarau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?
Our pick is FC Aarau to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?
On our numbers Étoile Carouge have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FC Aarau 65%.
How many goals will there be in Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?
Our predicted score is Étoile Carouge 1–2 FC Aarau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?
Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Fontenette.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
