Value bet: Dordrecht to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDordrecht to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceDordrecht or draw ✓78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Dordrecht vs Borussia Dortmund II preview and prediction
The match
Dordrecht host Borussia Dortmund II in the Friendlies Clubs on Tuesday 14 July, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Dordrecht's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Excelsior 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Borussia Dortmund II's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Vitesse 0–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Borussia Dortmund II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.3 for Dordrecht and 1.4 for Borussia Dortmund II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dordrecht 55%, draw 23%, Borussia Dortmund II 22%.
Safer route: Dordrecht or draw (78%) at 1.35.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Dordrecht to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dordrecht or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.35, above our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dordrecht 2–1 Borussia Dortmund II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dordrecht55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.80
Borussia Dortmund II22%fair 4.50 · @2.90
3.67Expected goals
2.26Dordrecht xG
1.41Borussia Dortmund II xG
65%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Dordrecht 2.3 – 1.4 Borussia Dortmund II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dordrecht to win✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Dordrecht or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Dordrecht ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dordrecht / FT Dordrecht✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.91
–
Form
Dordrecht – last 6
LLWLLW
11 Jul
vs Excelsior
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Feyenoord
0–6
L
27 Jun
vs Schalke 04 II
3–0
W
24 Apr
vs Willem II
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Almere City FC
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs ADO Den Haag
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund II – last 6
LWWWDW
11 Jul
@ Vitesse
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Lüner SV
3–1
W
12 May
@ Real Madrid U21
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Real Sociedad II
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ FC Bocholt
1–1
D
22 Apr
@ SSVg Velbert
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dordrecht and Borussia Dortmund II.
What is the prediction for Dordrecht vs Borussia Dortmund II?
Our pick is Dordrecht or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Dordrecht vs Borussia Dortmund II?
On our numbers Dordrecht have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Borussia Dortmund II 22%.
How many goals will there be in Dordrecht vs Borussia Dortmund II?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dordrecht vs Borussia Dortmund II?
Our predicted score is Dordrecht 2–1 Borussia Dortmund II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Dordrecht vs Borussia Dortmund II?
Dordrecht vs Borussia Dortmund II (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 14 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.