Value bet: Karviná to win @ 2.38 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarviná to win ✓46% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.81
Karviná vs Zemplín Michalovce preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Karviná take on Zemplín Michalovce on Tuesday 7 July, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Karviná's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Wisla Krakow 0–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Zemplín Michalovce's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Korona Kielce 0–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 6. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Karviná arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.9 for Karviná and 1.7 for Zemplín Michalovce. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Karviná to win at 2.38 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Karviná 2–1 Zemplín Michalovce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karviná46%fair 2.18 · @2.38
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @3.94
Zemplín Michalovce35%fair 2.82 · @2.28
3.62Expected goals
1.94Karviná xG
1.68Zemplín Michalovce xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Karviná 1.9 – 1.7 Zemplín Michalovce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karviná to win✓
46%
2.18
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.28
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.86
Half-time result
Karviná ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karviná / FT Karviná✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.81
–
Form
Karviná – last 6
LLWWWW
4 Jul
@ Wisla Krakow
0–2
L
23 May
@ Sigma Olomouc
0–4
L
20 May
@ FK Jablonec
3–1
W
10 May
@ Pardubice
2–1
W
21 Apr
vs Baník Ostrava
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Slovan Liberec
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zemplín Michalovce – last 6
LDLWLW
4 Jul
@ Korona Kielce
0–4
L
30 Jun
@ Kazincbarcikai
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Diosgyori VTK
0–1
L
23 Jun
@ Humenné
2–1
W
5 May
@ Žilina
2–3
L
21 Feb
@ AS Trencin
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karviná and Zemplín Michalovce.
What is the prediction for Karviná vs Zemplín Michalovce?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Karviná vs Zemplín Michalovce?
On our numbers Karviná have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Zemplín Michalovce 35%.
How many goals will there be in Karviná vs Zemplín Michalovce?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karviná vs Zemplín Michalovce?
Our predicted score is Karviná 2–1 Zemplín Michalovce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Karviná vs Zemplín Michalovce?
Karviná vs Zemplín Michalovce (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 7 July 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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