Value bet: Akron to win @ 3.56 – our chance 37% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRodina Moskva to win ✗41% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.27
Rodina Moskva vs Akron preview and prediction
The match
Rodina Moskva host Akron in the Friendlies Clubs on Thursday 2 July, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Rodina Moskva's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv 0–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Akron's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Baltika 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rodina Moskva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Rodina Moskva and 1.2 for Akron. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rodina Moskva 41%, draw 23%, Akron 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.74.
Value angle: Akron to win at 3.56 – 37% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Rodina Moskva 1–1 Akron. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rodina Moskva41%fair 2.47 · @1.97
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.52
Akron37%fair 2.71 · @3.56
2.44Expected goals
1.26Rodina Moskva xG
1.18Akron xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 1.3 – 1.2 Akron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rodina Moskva to win✗
41%
2.47
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.74
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.27
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rodina Moskva / FT Rodina Moskva✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.27
–
Form
Rodina Moskva – last 6
DWLWWW
27 Jun
@ Lokomotiv
0–0
D
8 May
vs Chelyabinsk
2–0
W
22 Apr
@ Rotor Volgograd
0–2
L
13 Apr
@ Fakel
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ FK Sokol Saratov
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs Ural
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Akron – last 6
LLWLLW
26 Jun
vs Baltika
0–1
L
23 May
vs Rotor Volgograd
0–1
L
20 May
@ Rotor Volgograd
2–0
W
17 May
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–4
L
11 May
vs FC Rostov
1–3
L
27 Apr
@ Baltika
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodina Moskva and Akron.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs Akron?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Akron?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Akron 37%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs Akron?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs Akron?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 1–1 Akron, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva vs Akron?
Rodina Moskva vs Akron (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Thursday 2 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.