Value bet: Novi Pazar to win @ 3.40 – our chance 41% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +38%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovi Pazar to win ✗41% · @3.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.46
Macva vs Novi Pazar preview and prediction
The match
Novi Pazar travel to face Macva in the Friendlies Clubs on Wednesday 1 July (17:30 WAT).
Form guide
Macva's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Petrovac 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Novi Pazar's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Železničar Pančevo 2–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Macva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Macva and 1.2 for Novi Pazar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Macva 35%, draw 24%, Novi Pazar 41%.
Value angle: Novi Pazar to win at 3.40 – 41% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Macva 1–1 Novi Pazar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Macva35%fair 2.84 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Novi Pazar41%fair 2.46 · @3.40
2.34Expected goals
1.11Macva xG
1.22Novi Pazar xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Macva 1.1 – 1.2 Novi Pazar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novi Pazar to win✗
41%
2.46
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novi Pazar / FT Novi Pazar✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.46
–
Form
Macva – last 6
DDWLWD
27 Jun
vs Petrovac
0–0
D
20 Jun
vs Zemun
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs OFK Vršac
3–0
W
22 Apr
@ Zemun
0–2
L
5 Apr
vs Stepojevac Vaga
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Loznica
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Novi Pazar – last 6
DLLDWL
17 May
vs Železničar Pančevo
2–2
D
22 Apr
@ Radnik Surdulica
0–2
L
9 Apr
vs FK Partizan
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Cukaricki
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ Mladost Lucani
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macva and Novi Pazar.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Macva vs Novi Pazar?
On our numbers Macva have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Novi Pazar 41%.
How many goals will there be in Macva vs Novi Pazar?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macva vs Novi Pazar?
Our predicted score is Macva 1–1 Novi Pazar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Macva vs Novi Pazar?
Macva vs Novi Pazar (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.