Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 45% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +48%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗45% · @3.30
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗16% · fair 6.26
Dečić vs FK Liepaja preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Dečić take on FK Liepaja on Wednesday 15 July, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadion Tuško Polje.
Form guide
Dečić's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to FK Liepaja 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
FK Liepaja's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Auda 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 July 2026, finished FK Liepaja 1–0 Dečić.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Dečić and 0.9 for FK Liepaja. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dečić 27%, draw 45%, FK Liepaja 28%.
Safer route: FK Liepaja or draw (73%) at 1.40.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Draw at 3.30 – 45% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dečić 0–0 FK Liepaja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dečić27%fair 3.68 · @2.80
Draw45%fair 2.23 · @3.30
FK Liepaja28%fair 3.56 · @2.25
1.83Expected goals
0.96Dečić xG
0.88FK Liepaja xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–016%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Dečić 1.0 – 0.9 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Dečić vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Dečić have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 45% and FK Liepaja 28%.
How many goals will there be in Dečić vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dečić vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Dečić 0–0 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Dečić vs FK Liepaja?
Dečić vs FK Liepaja (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Tuško Polje.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Malisheva5
Vllaznia Shkodër0