Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Naftagas to win @ 1.83 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaftagas to win ✓64% · @1.83
Double chanceNaftagas or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.63
Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Ub preview and prediction
The match
Jedinstvo Ub travel to Gradski stadion in the Prva Liga on Monday 28 September (17:00 WAT) to face Naftagas. Naftagas are 9th with 22 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Jedinstvo Ub sit 13th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Naftagas's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Javor 2–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Jedinstvo Ub's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Loznica 2–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Naftagas and 0.7 for Jedinstvo Ub. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Naftagas to win at 1.83 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Naftagas or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Naftagas 1–0 Jedinstvo Ub. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naftagas64%fair 1.55 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.30
Jedinstvo Ub12%fair 8.15 · @3.70
2.70Expected goals
1.95Naftagas xG
0.75Jedinstvo Ub xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Naftagas 2.0 – 0.7 Jedinstvo Ub expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naftagas to win✓
64%
1.55
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Naftagas or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Naftagas ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naftagas / FT Naftagas✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.63
–
Form
Naftagas – last 6
LDDDLW
21 Sep
@ Javor
2–4
L
16 Sep
vs TSC Backa Topola
1–1
D
10 Sep
@ Teleoptik
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Metalac GM
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ OFK Bor 1919
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Grafičar
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jedinstvo Ub – last 6
LLWLDL
21 Sep
vs Loznica
2–3
L
16 Sep
@ FK Vozdovac
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Semendrija 1924
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Napredak
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs OFK Vršac
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naftagas and Jedinstvo Ub.
What is the prediction for Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Ub?
Our pick is Naftagas or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Ub?
On our numbers Naftagas have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jedinstvo Ub 12%.
How many goals will there be in Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Ub?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Ub?
Our predicted score is Naftagas 1–0 Jedinstvo Ub, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Ub?
Naftagas vs Jedinstvo Ub (Prva Liga) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
