Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Naftagas to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaftagas to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceNaftagas or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.57
Naftagas vs Metalac GM preview and prediction
The match
The Prva Liga sees Naftagas take on Metalac GM on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Gradski Stadion Senta. Naftagas are 9th with 22 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Metalac GM sit 12th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Naftagas's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to OFK Bor 1919 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Metalac GM's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Loznica 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Naftagas and 0.9 for Metalac GM. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 48%.
Value angle: Naftagas to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Naftagas or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Naftagas 1–0 Metalac GM. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naftagas57%fair 1.77 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.20
Metalac GM18%fair 5.42 · @3.50
2.55Expected goals
1.69Naftagas xG
0.86Metalac GM xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Naftagas 1.7 – 0.9 Metalac GM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naftagas to win✗
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Naftagas or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naftagas / FT Naftagas✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.57
–
Form
Naftagas – last 6
LWLLLD
30 Aug
@ OFK Bor 1919
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Grafičar
2–1
W
19 Aug
@ Borac Cacak
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Dubočica
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ OFK Vršac
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ Loznica
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Metalac GM – last 6
LLDLLW
29 Aug
vs Loznica
2–4
L
23 Aug
@ FK Vozdovac
0–1
L
19 Aug
vs Semendrija 1924
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Napredak
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2–4
L
1 Aug
@ Jedinstvo Ub
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naftagas and Metalac GM.
What is the prediction for Naftagas vs Metalac GM?
Our pick is Naftagas or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Naftagas vs Metalac GM?
On our numbers Naftagas have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Metalac GM 18%.
How many goals will there be in Naftagas vs Metalac GM?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naftagas vs Metalac GM?
Our predicted score is Naftagas 1–0 Metalac GM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Naftagas vs Metalac GM?
Naftagas vs Metalac GM (Prva Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion Senta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
