Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Loznica to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLoznica to win ✓39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · fair 1.34
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Metalac GM vs Loznica preview and prediction
The match
Metalac GM host Loznica in the Prva Liga on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion FK Metalac. Metalac GM are 12th with 19 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Loznica sit 11th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Metalac GM's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to FK Vozdovac 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Loznica's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with OFK Bor 1919 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Metalac GM and 1.1 for Loznica. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Value angle: Loznica to win at 2.88 – 39% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Metalac GM 0–1 Loznica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metalac GM36%fair 2.81 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.88
Loznica39%fair 2.58 · @2.88
2.06Expected goals
1.00Metalac GM xG
1.06Loznica xG
45%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Metalac GM 1.0 – 1.1 Loznica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Loznica to win✓
39%
2.58
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Metalac GM – last 6
LDLLWD
23 Aug
@ FK Vozdovac
0–1
L
19 Aug
vs Semendrija 1924
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Napredak
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2–4
L
1 Aug
@ Jedinstvo Ub
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Jedinstvo Putevi
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Loznica – last 6
DDLDDD
23 Aug
vs OFK Bor 1919
0–0
D
19 Aug
@ Grafičar
2–2
D
14 Aug
vs Borac Cacak
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Dubočica
0–0
D
31 Jul
vs Naftagas
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Macva
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metalac GM and Loznica.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Metalac GM vs Loznica?
On our numbers Metalac GM have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Loznica 39%.
How many goals will there be in Metalac GM vs Loznica?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metalac GM vs Loznica?
Our predicted score is Metalac GM 0–1 Loznica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Metalac GM vs Loznica?
Metalac GM vs Loznica (Prva Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion FK Metalac.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
