Value bet: TSC Backa Topola to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNapredak to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.07
Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola preview and prediction
The match
Napredak host TSC Backa Topola in the Prva Liga on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT). Napredak are 7th with 25 points from 17 games (in the top half), while TSC Backa Topola sit 3rd on 34 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Napredak's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Teleoptik 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
TSC Backa Topola's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished TSC Backa Topola 4–1 Napredak. Across their last 2 meetings Napredak have won 0, TSC Backa Topola 2, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Napredak and 1.2 for TSC Backa Topola. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 45%.
Value angle: TSC Backa Topola to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Napredak 1–1 TSC Backa Topola. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Napredak38%fair 2.63 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
TSC Backa Topola37%fair 2.67 · @2.90
2.39Expected goals
1.20Napredak xG
1.19TSC Backa Topola xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Napredak 1.2 – 1.2 TSC Backa Topola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola?
On our numbers Napredak have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and TSC Backa Topola 37%.
How many goals will there be in Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola?
Our predicted score is Napredak 1–1 TSC Backa Topola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola?
Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola (Prva Liga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
