Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Grafičar to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrafičar to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceGrafičar or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.58
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.69
Grafičar vs Loznica preview and prediction
The match
Grafičar host Loznica in the Prva Liga on Wednesday 19 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Rajko Mit. Grafičar are 14th with 17 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while Loznica sit 11th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Grafičar's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat FK Vozdovac 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Loznica's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Borac Cacak 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Grafičar and 0.5 for Loznica. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grafičar 63%, draw 24%, Loznica 13%.
Safer route: Grafičar or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Grafičar to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Grafičar or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Grafičar 1–0 Loznica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grafičar63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.00
Loznica13%fair 7.44 · @3.75
1.91Expected goals
1.44Grafičar xG
0.47Loznica xG
37%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–015%
0–015%
1–110%
3–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Grafičar 1.4 – 0.5 Loznica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grafičar to win✗
63%
1.59
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Grafičar or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grafičar / FT Grafičar✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.69
–
Form
Grafičar – last 6
WLLLWW
14 Aug
@ FK Vozdovac
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Semendrija 1924
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Napredak
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Borac Cacak
0–3
L
24 May
vs FK Trayal
3–0
W
17 May
@ Kabel Novi Sad
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Loznica – last 6
LDDDWD
14 Aug
vs Borac Cacak
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Dubočica
0–0
D
31 Jul
vs Naftagas
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Macva
0–0
D
3 May
@ Zemun
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ OFK Vršac
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grafičar and Loznica.
Our pick is Grafičar or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Grafičar vs Loznica?
On our numbers Grafičar have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Loznica 13%.
How many goals will there be in Grafičar vs Loznica?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grafičar vs Loznica?
Our predicted score is Grafičar 1–0 Loznica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Grafičar vs Loznica?
Grafičar vs Loznica (Prva Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rajko Mit.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
