Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: OFK Beograd to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOFK Beograd to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceOFK Beograd or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.18
Macva vs OFK Beograd preview and prediction
The match
Macva host OFK Beograd in the Super Liga on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Macva are 11th with 13 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while OFK Beograd sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Macva's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Cukaricki 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
OFK Beograd's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Mladost Lucani 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Macva and 2.0 for OFK Beograd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Macva 14%, draw 22%, OFK Beograd 63%.
Safer route: OFK Beograd or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: OFK Beograd to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was OFK Beograd or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Macva 0–1 OFK Beograd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Macva14%fair 6.98 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
OFK Beograd63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
2.77Expected goals
0.82Macva xG
1.95OFK Beograd xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Macva 0.8 – 2.0 OFK Beograd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
OFK Beograd to win✗
63%
1.58
1.95 ▲
Double chance
OFK Beograd or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
OFK Beograd ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT OFK Beograd / FT OFK Beograd✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.18
–
Form
Macva – last 6
DLLDDW
10 Oct
@ Cukaricki
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Mladost Lucani
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Železničar Pančevo
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Radnicki 1923
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Novi Pazar
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Radnicki NIS
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
OFK Beograd – last 6
DLLDLW
12 Oct
@ Mladost Lucani
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Radnicki 1923
3–5
L
13 Sep
@ Radnicki NIS
1–3
L
7 Sep
vs IMT Novi Beograd
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ FK Partizan
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Zemun
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macva and OFK Beograd.
Our pick is OFK Beograd or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Macva vs OFK Beograd?
On our numbers Macva have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and OFK Beograd 63%.
How many goals will there be in Macva vs OFK Beograd?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macva vs OFK Beograd?
Our predicted score is Macva 0–1 OFK Beograd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Macva vs OFK Beograd?
Macva vs OFK Beograd (Super Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
