Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: FK Partizan to win @ 1.70 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Partizan to win ✓66% · @1.70
Double chanceFK Partizan or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar preview and prediction
The match
FK Partizan host Novi Pazar in the Super Liga on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Partizana. FK Partizan are 10th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Novi Pazar sit 8th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FK Partizan's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Radnik Surdulica 4–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Novi Pazar's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Zemun 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 April 2026, finished Novi Pazar 2–3 FK Partizan.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for FK Partizan and 0.8 for Novi Pazar. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Partizan 66%, draw 22%, Novi Pazar 12%.
Safer route: FK Partizan or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.44.
Value angle: FK Partizan to win at 1.70 – 66% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FK Partizan or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FK Partizan 2–0 Novi Pazar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Partizan66%fair 1.51 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.80
Novi Pazar12%fair 8.41 · @3.90
3.00Expected goals
2.16FK Partizan xG
0.84Novi Pazar xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: FK Partizan 2.2 – 0.8 Novi Pazar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?
Our pick is FK Partizan or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?
On our numbers FK Partizan have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Novi Pazar 12%.
How many goals will there be in FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?
Our predicted score is FK Partizan 2–0 Novi Pazar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?
FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar (Super Liga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Partizana.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
