Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovi Pazar to win ✗56% · @1.88
Double chanceNovi Pazar or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.22
Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd preview and prediction
The match
The Super Liga sees Novi Pazar take on OFK Beograd on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Gradski Stadion. Novi Pazar are 8th with 19 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while OFK Beograd sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Novi Pazar's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Mladost Lucani 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
OFK Beograd's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Gaziantep FK 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Novi Pazar 2–1 OFK Beograd.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.3 for Novi Pazar and 0.6 for OFK Beograd. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Novi Pazar 56%, draw 24%, OFK Beograd 20%.
Safer route: Novi Pazar or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Novi Pazar 1–0 OFK Beograd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novi Pazar56%fair 1.77 · @1.88
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.30
OFK Beograd20%fair 4.98 · @3.90
1.92Expected goals
1.31Novi Pazar xG
0.61OFK Beograd xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–015%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Novi Pazar 1.3 – 0.6 OFK Beograd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
On our numbers Novi Pazar have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and OFK Beograd 20%.
How many goals will there be in Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
Our predicted score is Novi Pazar 1–0 OFK Beograd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd (Super Liga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
