Value bet: Radnik Surdulica to win @ 2.98 – our chance 44% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRadnik Surdulica to win ✗44% · @2.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica preview and prediction
The match
OFK Beograd host Radnik Surdulica in the Super Liga on Saturday 25 July, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Omladinski Stadion. OFK Beograd are 12th with 11 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Radnik Surdulica sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
OFK Beograd's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Vojvodina 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Radnik Surdulica's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Mladost Lucani 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
OFK Beograd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished OFK Beograd 1–1 Radnik Surdulica. Across their last 2 meetings OFK Beograd have won 0, Radnik Surdulica 0, with 2 draws and 1.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for OFK Beograd and 1.5 for Radnik Surdulica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: OFK Beograd 35%, draw 21%, Radnik Surdulica 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Radnik Surdulica to win at 2.98 – 44% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: OFK Beograd 1–1 Radnik Surdulica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
OFK Beograd35%fair 2.85 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.35
Radnik Surdulica44%fair 2.28 · @2.98
2.82Expected goals
1.31OFK Beograd xG
1.51Radnik Surdulica xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: OFK Beograd 1.3 – 1.5 Radnik Surdulica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
On our numbers OFK Beograd have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Radnik Surdulica 44%.
How many goals will there be in OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
Our predicted score is OFK Beograd 1–1 Radnik Surdulica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica?
OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica (Super Liga) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Omladinski Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
