Value bet: Al Tadhamon to win @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Tadhamon to win ✗51% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.17
Al Tadhamon vs Al Shabab preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Al Tadhamon take on Al Shabab on Friday 26 June, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT). Al Tadhamon are 10th with 6 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while Al Shabab sit 8th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Tadhamon's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Al Nasar 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Shabab's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Al Jahra 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Al Tadhamon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.6.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 May 2026, finished Al Shabab 0–2 Al Tadhamon.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for Al Tadhamon and 1.0 for Al Shabab. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Tadhamon 51%, draw 22%, Al Shabab 27%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Al Tadhamon to win at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Al Tadhamon 1–0 Al Shabab. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Tadhamon51%fair 1.94 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Al Shabab27%fair 3.74 · @2.94
2.52Expected goals
1.52Al Tadhamon xG
1.00Al Shabab xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Al Tadhamon 1.5 – 1.0 Al Shabab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Tadhamon vs Al Shabab?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al Tadhamon vs Al Shabab?
On our numbers Al Tadhamon have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Shabab 27%.
How many goals will there be in Al Tadhamon vs Al Shabab?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Tadhamon vs Al Shabab?
Our predicted score is Al Tadhamon 1–0 Al Shabab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al Tadhamon vs Al Shabab?
Al Tadhamon vs Al Shabab (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
