Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Al Qadsia to win @ 1.88 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Qadsia to win ✗62% · @1.88
Double chanceAl Qadsia or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Al Qadsia vs Kazma preview and prediction
The match
Kazma travel to Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium in the Premier League on Monday 22 June (19:45 WAT) to face Al Qadsia. Al Qadsia are 2nd with 15 points from 7 games (in the top four), while Kazma sit 3rd on 14 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Qadsia's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Al Arabi 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kazma's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Al Fahaheel 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Al Qadsia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 February 2026, finished Kazma 4–2 Al Qadsia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Al Qadsia and 0.7 for Kazma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Qadsia 62%, draw 22%, Kazma 16%.
Safer route: Al Qadsia or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Al Qadsia to win at 1.88 – 62% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Qadsia or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Qadsia 1–0 Kazma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Qadsia62%fair 1.60 · @1.88
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Kazma16%fair 6.33 · @3.85
2.55Expected goals
1.85Al Qadsia xG
0.71Kazma xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Al Qadsia 1.8 – 0.7 Kazma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al Qadsia or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Qadsia vs Kazma?
On our numbers Al Qadsia have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kazma 16%.
How many goals will there be in Al Qadsia vs Kazma?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Qadsia vs Kazma?
Our predicted score is Al Qadsia 1–0 Kazma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Al Qadsia vs Kazma?
Al Qadsia vs Kazma (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
