Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Tacuarembo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTacuarembo to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.89
Tacuarembo vs Paysandu preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Tacuarembo take on Paysandu on Saturday 20 June, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). Tacuarembo are 13th with 26 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while Paysandu sit 5th on 35 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Tacuarembo's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Sportivo Huracan 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Paysandu's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Plaza Colonia 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Tacuarembo and 0.8 for Paysandu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Tacuarembo to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tacuarembo 1–0 Paysandu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tacuarembo55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.10
Paysandu24%fair 4.23 · @3.65
2.33Expected goals
1.50Tacuarembo xG
0.84Paysandu xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Tacuarembo 1.5 – 0.8 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tacuarembo to win✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tacuarembo / FT Tacuarembo✓
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.89
–
Form
Tacuarembo – last 6
LWLWWL
13 Jun
@ Sportivo Huracan
1–2
L
7 Jun
vs Uruguay Montevideo
1–0
W
1 Jun
@ Oriental
0–2
L
24 May
vs Colón
2–0
W
17 May
@ Fenix
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Atenas
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Paysandu – last 6
LWLDLW
14 Jun
vs Plaza Colonia
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ La Luz
2–1
W
30 May
vs Cerrito
0–1
L
17 Apr
@ Plaza Colonia
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Rentistas
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Miramar
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tacuarembo and Paysandu.
What is the prediction for Tacuarembo vs Paysandu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paysandu 24%.
How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs Paysandu?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 1–0 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tacuarembo vs Paysandu?
Tacuarembo vs Paysandu (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
