Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 2.80 – our chance 57% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +61%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗57% · @2.80
Double chanceAlbacete II or draw ✓84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗37% · fair 2.72
Albacete II vs Leioa preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs sees Albacete II take on Leioa on Sunday 21 June, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Albacete II's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Leioa 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leioa's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Albacete II 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leioa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 June 2026, finished Leioa 1–0 Albacete II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.6 for Albacete II and 0.4 for Leioa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Albacete II 26%, draw 57%, Leioa 16%.
Safer route: Albacete II or draw (84%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: no (59%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Draw at 2.80 – 57% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Albacete II or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Albacete II 0–0 Leioa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albacete II26%fair 3.79 · @2.15
Draw57%fair 1.74 · @2.80
Leioa16%fair 6.17 · @3.40
1.00Expected goals
0.58Albacete II xG
0.42Leioa xG
41%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
1–021%
0–116%
1–19%
2–06%
0–23%
From our goals model: Albacete II 0.6 – 0.4 Leioa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Albacete II or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Albacete II vs Leioa?
On our numbers Albacete II have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 57% and Leioa 16%.
How many goals will there be in Albacete II vs Leioa?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albacete II vs Leioa?
Our predicted score is Albacete II 0–0 Leioa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Albacete II vs Leioa?
Albacete II vs Leioa (Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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