Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓65% · fair 1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.04
Pelister vs Osogovo preview and prediction
The match
The Second League sees Pelister take on Osogovo on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Pelister are 2nd with 25 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Osogovo sit 13th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pelister's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Belasica 0–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Osogovo's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Gorno Lisiče 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Pelister arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.9 for Pelister and 0.4 for Osogovo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 35%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pelister 74%, draw 20%, Osogovo 6%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 2.30, above our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pelister 1–0 Osogovo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pelister74%fair 1.36 · @1.18
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @5.50
Osogovo6%fair 16.82 · @12.00
2.24Expected goals
1.87Pelister xG
0.37Osogovo xG
35%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–019%
3–012%
0–011%
1–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Pelister 1.9 – 0.4 Osogovo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pelister to win✓
74%
1.36
1.18
Double chance
Pelister or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
2.30 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Pelister ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pelister / FT Pelister✗
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.04
–
Form
Pelister – last 6
DWWWWW
11 Oct
@ Belasica
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Ohrid
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Shkupi 1927
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs FK Rabotnicki
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Studenicani
6–1
W
29 Aug
@ Makedonija GjP
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Osogovo – last 6
DDLLLD
10 Oct
vs Gorno Lisiče
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Teteks
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Kozuv Gevgelija
0–1
L
9 Sep
vs Belasica
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Detonit Plachkovica
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Novaci
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pelister and Osogovo.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Pelister vs Osogovo?
On our numbers Pelister have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Osogovo 6%.
How many goals will there be in Pelister vs Osogovo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pelister vs Osogovo?
Our predicted score is Pelister 1–0 Osogovo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Pelister vs Osogovo?
Pelister vs Osogovo (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
