Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPelister to win ✗67% · @1.62
Double chancePelister or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.03
Belasica vs Pelister preview and prediction
The match
Belasica host Pelister in the Second League on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Belasica are 7th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Pelister sit 2nd on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Belasica's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Gorno Lisiče 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Pelister's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Ohrid 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pelister arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.5 for Belasica and 1.6 for Pelister. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Pelister to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Belasica 0–1 Pelister. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Belasica12%fair 8.05 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Pelister67%fair 1.49 · @1.62
2.09Expected goals
0.48Belasica xG
1.61Pelister xG
38%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–216%
0–012%
1–110%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Belasica 0.5 – 1.6 Pelister expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pelister to win✗
67%
1.49
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Pelister or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pelister / FT Pelister✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.03
–
Form
Belasica – last 6
DDWDDW
19 Sep
@ Gorno Lisiče
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Teteks
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ Osogovo
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Kozuv Gevgelija
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Detonit Plachkovica
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Novaci
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pelister – last 6
WWWWWD
19 Sep
vs Ohrid
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Shkupi 1927
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs FK Rabotnicki
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Studenicani
6–1
W
29 Aug
@ Makedonija GjP
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Akademija Pandev
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belasica and Pelister.
Our pick is Pelister to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Belasica vs Pelister?
On our numbers Belasica have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pelister 67%.
How many goals will there be in Belasica vs Pelister?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Belasica vs Pelister?
Our predicted score is Belasica 0–1 Pelister, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Belasica vs Pelister?
Belasica vs Pelister (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
