Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Pelister to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPelister to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chancePelister or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.16
Pelister vs Ohrid preview and prediction
The match
Ohrid travel to face Pelister in the Second League on Saturday 19 September (14:45 WAT). Pelister are 2nd with 25 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Ohrid sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pelister's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Shkupi 1927 4–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ohrid's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Gorno Lisiče 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Pelister and 0.7 for Ohrid. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pelister 65%, draw 21%, Ohrid 14%.
Safer route: Pelister or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Pelister to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pelister or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pelister 1–0 Ohrid. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pelister65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Ohrid14%fair 7.12 · @3.75
2.59Expected goals
1.87Pelister xG
0.72Ohrid xG
44%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pelister 1.9 – 0.7 Ohrid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pelister to win✓
65%
1.54
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Pelister or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Pelister ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pelister / FT Pelister✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.16
–
Form
Pelister – last 6
WWWWDD
13 Sep
@ Shkupi 1927
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs FK Rabotnicki
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Studenicani
6–1
W
29 Aug
@ Makedonija GjP
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Akademija Pandev
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Kamjani
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ohrid – last 6
WLWWWL
13 Sep
vs Gorno Lisiče
2–1
W
9 Sep
@ Novaci
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Teteks
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Kozuv Gevgelija
5–1
W
15 Aug
vs Novaci
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Novaci
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pelister and Ohrid.
Our pick is Pelister or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pelister vs Ohrid?
On our numbers Pelister have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ohrid 14%.
How many goals will there be in Pelister vs Ohrid?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pelister vs Ohrid?
Our predicted score is Pelister 1–0 Ohrid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pelister vs Ohrid?
Pelister vs Ohrid (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
