Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPelister to win ✓68% · @1.57
Double chancePelister or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓65% · fair 1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59% · fair 1.69
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓21% · fair 4.70
Makedonija GjP vs Pelister preview and prediction
The match
The Second League sees Makedonija GjP take on Pelister on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 15:45 (WAT). Makedonija GjP are 9th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Pelister sit 2nd on 25 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Makedonija GjP's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Gorno Lisiče 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Pelister's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Akademija Pandev 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Makedonija GjP arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.4 for Makedonija GjP and 1.6 for Pelister. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pelister to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Makedonija GjP 0–1 Pelister. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Makedonija GjP13%fair 7.68 · @5.00
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @3.60
Pelister68%fair 1.47 · @1.57
1.99Expected goals
0.44Makedonija GjP xG
1.55Pelister xG
35%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–121%
0–217%
0–014%
1–19%
0–39%
1–27%
From our goals model: Makedonija GjP 0.4 – 1.6 Pelister expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pelister to win✓
68%
1.47
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Pelister or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pelister / FT Pelister✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
21%
4.70
–
Form
Makedonija GjP – last 6
WDWLWD
22 Aug
@ Gorno Lisiče
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Teteks
1–1
D
25 May
vs Sileks
4–2
W
10 May
vs Tikveš
1–4
L
1 May
@ Shkupi 1927
4–0
W
14 Apr
@ Akademija Pandev
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pelister – last 6
DDLWWL
22 Aug
vs Akademija Pandev
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Kamjani
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Novaci
2–4
L
1 Aug
@ Shkëndija Haraçinë
1–0
W
24 May
vs Bashkimi Kumanovo
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Aresimi
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Makedonija GjP and Pelister.
What is the prediction for Makedonija GjP vs Pelister?
Our pick is Pelister to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Makedonija GjP vs Pelister?
On our numbers Makedonija GjP have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pelister 68%.
How many goals will there be in Makedonija GjP vs Pelister?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Makedonija GjP vs Pelister?
Our predicted score is Makedonija GjP 0–1 Pelister, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Makedonija GjP vs Pelister?
Makedonija GjP vs Pelister (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
