Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Belasica to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBelasica to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chanceBelasica or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.52
Novaci vs Belasica preview and prediction
The match
Novaci host Belasica in the Second League on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT). Novaci are 11th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Belasica sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Novaci's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Ohrid 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Belasica's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Osogovo 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Belasica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.8 for Novaci and 1.5 for Belasica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Novaci 21%, draw 21%, Belasica 58%.
Safer route: Belasica or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Belasica to win at 1.83 – 58% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Belasica or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Novaci 0–1 Belasica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novaci21%fair 4.79 · @3.50
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.50
Belasica58%fair 1.72 · @1.83
2.31Expected goals
0.77Novaci xG
1.54Belasica xG
42%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–212%
1–112%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Novaci 0.8 – 1.5 Belasica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belasica to win✓
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Belasica or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belasica / FT Belasica✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
15%
6.52
–
Form
Novaci – last 6
LWWWWL
15 Aug
@ Ohrid
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Pelister
4–2
W
25 Jul
vs Kozuv Gevgelija
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Ohrid
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Golemo Konjari
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Ohrid
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Belasica – last 6
WWLWWW
15 Aug
vs Osogovo
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs FK Rabotnicki
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Detonit Plachkovica
0–1
L
29 Jul
vs Kozuv Gevgelija
2–0
W
28 Jul
@ Kozuv Gevgelija
2–0
W
24 Jul
vs Belasitsa
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novaci and Belasica.
Our pick is Belasica or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Novaci vs Belasica?
On our numbers Novaci have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Belasica 58%.
How many goals will there be in Novaci vs Belasica?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novaci vs Belasica?
Our predicted score is Novaci 0–1 Belasica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Novaci vs Belasica?
Novaci vs Belasica (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
